Things are happening faster than I can keep up with. Isobel Redmond gone; Campbell Newman a pariah in his own flood-fouled heartland; Ted Baillieu on notice; Craig Thomson arrested, stripped and shamed; his lawyer suing Barry O’Farrell for a joke about nakedness; Tony Abbott self-immolated by his proud refusal to keep funding schoolkids; Chris Evans and Nicola Roxon abruptly quitting; Tony Sheldon bagging Labor; Moses Obeid cornholed by his own recorded voice; floods and bushfires devastating towns and lives; and it is only two and a half days since Gillard, surprising her Cabinet, ‘called’ a Yom Kippur election and incensed world Jewry and flabbergasted everyone. Things are in overdrive as they were in November 1975, before the Sacking, when Khemlani came to town. I feel at a loss to predict things for the first time in a long while.
Yesterday I was confident the strip-search of Craig would lose Abbott, his principal public tormentor, more female votes and Nielsen would show Labor on 50 on Monday. But I don’t know now. I await Chris Evans’ press conference with trembling interest.
It may be that Gillard has made a Rudd-like mistake, and not consulted her colleagues enough, and they are ropeable now. I’m not sure. Headlines are erasing previous headlines almost hourly, and nothing is predictable any more.
If Thomson sues O’Farrell, it is uncharted waters. He can then sue Abbott, Pyne, Brandis, The Daily Telegraph, Paul Murray, Andrew Bolt, and they will have to shut up about him. Or will they? More to come.
What a difference an hour makes. The going of Evans and Roxon makes human sense now, and timing of it tactical sense, and the coming of Dreyfus and two men of Prime Ministerial stature, Clare and Kelly, wipes out much if not all of the negative backwash of Thomson’s arrest and pernicious theft of ice cream and leaves the tories without defenses in economic policy (where’s the money to come from? which hundred thousand breadwinners get the sack?) and facing debacle at Katter’s big kindly hands in Queensland. The LNP will be, I assess, a three-year wonder and the Liberals will not see power federally for ten or tweny years.
The Nielson Poll on Monday will have Labor on 49 or 50 and all will be well. I’m off to Zero Dark Thirty. More later.
Zero Dark Thirty is an offence to human reason. See above.