It is a week since Craig finished speaking in his defence to the House of Representatives and with scornful raised forefinger swore Abbott was not fit to be an M.P.
In the days that followed Rebekah Brooks was arrested for concealing information, Joe Hockey said he couldn’t guarantee the disabled any money, Tony Abbott breached the Crimes Act by promising to lay off Craig if he resigned his seat, Mal Washer said Craig might top himself, the hooker stepped forward, Channel 9 said she wouldn’t be given any money, women all over the nation were revolted by Abbott’s bullying, Pyne shrieked at the Prime Minister, Abbott said he felt for Craig and wished him well, Carr saved Schapelle Corby’s life, Julie Bishop said this good deed was ‘tricky, pretty tricky’, Pyne proved to have a whorehouse-visiting past, or so it was alleged in these columns and not denied, Gina Rhinehart was shown to earn two million dollars an hour and said to need more money to dig up things we owned and was allowed to disadvantage further Aboriginal workers in her state by bringing in foreign ones, Gillard claimed she knew nothing of this, Howes called the idea ‘lunacy’, it began to be rumoured that Gillard would stand down on Tuesday, the Whip denied he was destabilising her, and, in the past hour, an enquiry showed Craig may have been framed by his rival Kathy Jackson’s current squeeze who might go to gaol, and Abbott was shown to have nearly bashed on the floor of the House a legless Vietnam War veteran, and Question Time starts in half an hour.
‘A week,’ Harold Wilson said, ‘is a long time in politics.’
It is unlikely that Abbott will be where he is now in August, and Gillard … well …
She may be saved by a good Newspoll tomorrow. If honest it will show Labor on 48 or 49 but it is not known what the flapping and furious Murdoch wants it to say and he may not have made up his mind. I expect he will opt to save her.
If she is removed or, more likely, made to announce she will stand down at the end of the fiscal year, the candidates to replace her — Carr, Albo, Shorten, Rudd, Swan, Crean, Combet, Plibersek — will start with similar odds but this will change in the time allowed, if any is. It is the Crean-Gillard method to move quickly to seize or preserve the crown and they may again.
I think on the whole she will survive, in part because there is no clear uniting candidate apart from Carr and he may not want it. Survive this session of parliament, that is.
But I am going down tomorrow, just in case.